Thursday, September 17, 2015

What about that Chicago Bears Offense?

I like to think I'm not blind, but I think there's reason to be mildly optimistic about the Bears' offense this season. A lot of the problems they had last year had more to do with coaching than the players themselves, at least in my humble opinion. Let's look at some of the pieces and see what they have to work with.

First things first, we have to look at the quarterbacks. Clearly, their starting QB is Cutler. There have been no signs that there's any kind of battle for the starting job between Jay Cutler, David Fales and Jimmy Clausen. Despite consistent messages from the new coaching staff downplaying any official assignments, it's pretty much impossible to consider anybody but Cutler will be the starting QB.

Let's talk about Jay Cutler for a bit. He's a polarizing player, no doubt about it. In many ways, I feel very bad for Cutler. He's the target of a LOT of vitriol from so-called Bears "fans", and I feel a lot of that is undeserved. If you consider the state of the Bears offense for the large majority of the time he's been in Chicago, you've got to cut the guy some slack.

Let's look at his time with the Bears. Before I get to his passing targets, I want to discuss the offensive line. Until the Bears drafted Kyle Long, Cutler had very little protection in the pocket. With the exception of 2013, he was among the league leaders in sacks every season. His first three years with the Bears, Cutler was sacked 110 times. That's not a typo. In comparison, in his three years in Denver, he was sacked only 51 times. Keep in mind, when quarterbacks get sacked, defenses do NOT hold back, so each and every one of those leaves a dent. New rules are helping to protect quarterbacks, but even sacks that don't count due to penalties still do their damage. If nothing else, this proves was a tough SOB Jay Cutler is. In his other three years on the Bears, Cutler absorbed another 95 sacks. His lightest year was in 2013, when he actually had an o-line that played an entire season together. It should be no surprise when you hear that Cutler had his highest QB rating of his career in 2013 at 89.2. It makes a big difference when you have people protecting the QB.

Now let's consider Cutler's offensive weapons. In his earlier years, these are the names of Cutler's starting wide receivers: Devin Hester, Earl Bennett, Rashied Davis, Johnny Knox, Devin Aromashodu, Dane Sanzenbacher, Roy Williams (his last year before retirement). Notice anything special about that list? Yeah, you got it. There was NOTHING special about that list. In 2012, Cutler's top target was Hester for a couple years. If that's not a red flag, I don't know what is. Finally, in 2012 the Bears traded for Brandon Marshall, who was a big target for Cutler in Denver, and the Bears finally had somebody for Cutler to throw to. However, in 2012, Marshall was the ONLY good option for Cutler to throw to, so he routinely was double- and triple-teamed, so there were still a lot of problems. In 2013, the offense finally showed some signs of life, but by that time Cutler had already been labeled as a pouty, turnover-prone, jerk-face loser who couldn't run an offense.

Now, I'm not about to declare Jay Cutler as an elite NFL quarterback. He just isn't. I'm also not going to say he's worth the crazy extension the Bears gave him in 2013. In my opinion, there isn't a football player in the world actually WORTH that much money. But, I will say Cutler is an above-average NFL quarterback, and one of the best quarterbacks the Bears have ever had, and that's proven in his stats.

Enough about Cutler. Let's talk about the rest of the offense. We're already more than aware of the unfortunate injury to Kevin White, who the Bears acquired with the seventh pick in the 2015 draft. The pin they inserted into his shin will likely keep him out for his entire rookie season. Given the fact they picked him up to replace Brandon Marshall, who the Bears traded in the off-season, that leaves an unfortunate hole in their wide receiver ranks. Alshon Jeffrey is a legitimate #1 wide receiver, and will fill that top spot nicely, though a 1-2 combo of Jeffrey and White would have been fun to watch. The Bears picked up the talented Eddie Royal to fill the slot receiver role, and they also have Marquess Wilson, who's been waiting in the wings, though his development has been delayed a bit due to some injuries he's had to fight through. Filling out the wide receiver ranks is rookie Cameron Meredith, who had a pretty impressive preseason.

Other passing targets Cutler has to throw to are tight end Martellus Bennett, and the ever-reliable running back Matt Forte. If Kevin White went injury-free in training camp, the Bears would have an embarrassment of riches to work with. As it is, there's some talent left sitting on injured reserve, but hopefully next year will show us what the Bears have in store for us.

For the run game, which the coaching staff has already promised we'll see plenty of this year, as is John Fox's staple, the Bears are always in good hands with Matt Forte. I expect this to be a very good year for Forte, and I would not be surprised if Forte ended the season as one of the top five running backs in the league, especially if you're including his receiving numbers, which are second to none among the NFL's best backs. Behind Forte are Jacquizz Rodgers, Jeremy Langford and last year's draft target Ka'Deem Carey.

All that talent means nothing if there's no help from the offensive line. Returning Pro Bowler Kyle Long returns, replacing the right tackle Joshua Mills, who the Bears released on waivers after the 2015 training camp. It might take a little bit of time for Long to shine in that role, but once he figures it out, he'll be a huge boost to Cutler's protection. If Long and the rest of that crew can give Cutler time, the Bears could have some great offensive games this season.

All in all, the Bears are primed to do some great things this year. Adam Gase is a very respected offensive coach, who has a lot of experience with successful offensive schemes, having spent time with Peyton Manning in Denver. As long as the defense does their job, I hope we're all laughing at the end of the season at those unfaithful, fair weather fans who predicted the Bears would end up in the bottom of the barrel when the 2015 season ends. In the meantime, I'll be watching them and hoping for the best. You know - doing what fans do.



Wednesday, August 19, 2015

Is tradition dead in Chicago? A city in search of defense


'85 Bears.

Offenses still shake and the raw brutality of this defense. Singletary, Gayle, Rivera, the "Fridge" - these greats lead a defensive team so fierce that the tradition of Chicago defense would go on for decades. And then it ended.

Average points let up per game 27.6 (31st)

Total yards Rank (30th)

TDs per drive (27.5% last in league)

In shaming fashion the Bears defense imploded, but how did this happen? Where has tradition gone?

The remarkable fact about the recent state of Bears defense is that only two years prior they were ranked 5th in the league. The bears have made some key defensive moves including adding Pernell McPhee, Antrel Rolle, and Mason Foster to join key line backer Jared Allen. But more than player transitions, probably the biggest factor affecting defense is philosophy change. The debacle of Bears defense coincides with head coach Marc Trestman's tenure. He is gone and where Bears defense goes from here is wide open.

The bears are moving to a 3-4 defensive set under head coach Fox. While in Denver, Fox's Denver defense was intimidating, ranked third in the league. While in Carolina his defense was feared as well. Certainly Fox has a tradition of defensive soundness, the question becomes not if Chicago defense will return to greatness but how long before it gets there. The 3-4 defensive set has never been tried in Chicago, but perhaps a clean slate is what is needed to undo the horrors left by Trestman. It could very well be trial by fire in Chicago as the three of the tougher games of the schedule happen first thing, but ultimately this will quicken the learning curve.

The first preseason game gave some indications that the bears are coming back. Some early success by the Dolphins showed holes that need repair, however, the Chicago defense (during 2nd and 3rd team play) sparked a few scores that led to victory in an otherwise meaningless game. Yet, success motivates and will help expedite the growing process of this defense. All in all this team is set up for a great year. The Bears are roaring back!


Friday, July 10, 2015

Starting on the road to perfection!

John Fox is bringing it!
Its time for the bears to get serious


They have.

  An honor to be writing my first blog post, which will be one of many critical evaluations of the bears through the season. Tim and I will focus our sports expertise to deliver to you, the reader, the most insightful analysis of the Chicago Bears you will see on the web - anywhere.

  Introductions slow us down, let us get down to business. How do the bears stack up this season? First, it is all about the head honcho, the big boss, the only man in the NFL to find victories with Tebow at the helm. None other than John Fox. Probably the greatest move the Bears have made in a decade was bringing this level of expertise to the windy city. Fox was close to superbowl gold with a relic of a quarterback sporting a robotic neck and now with the tools he has in Chicago, its not a question of when a superbowl victory will happen, but of how many times. 

  My future blogs will focus on players, but for this first post I want to look at the schedule and what the chances are of going 16-0, unaided by flat footballs and video cameras.  Here is the list:
  
 Sun 9/13         Green Bay     1:00 pm ET
Sun 9/20         Arizona     1:00 pm ET
Sun 9/27         @ Seattle     4:25 pm ET
Sun 10/4         Oakland     1:00 pm ET
Sun 10/11         @ Kansas City     1:00 pm ET
Sun 10/18         @ Detroit     1:00 pm ETS

SUN 10/25         BYE   
Sun 11/1         Minnesota     1:00 pm ET
Mon 11/9         @ San Diego     8:30 pm ET
Sun 11/15         @ St. Louis     1:00 pm ET
Sun 11/22         Denver     1:00 pm ET
Thu 11/26         @ Green Bay     8:30 pm ET
Sun 12/6         San Francisco     1:00 pm ET
Sun 12/13         Washington     1:00 pm ET
Sun 12/20         @ Minnesota     1:00 pm ET
Sun 12/27         @ Tampa Bay     1:00 pm ET
Sun 1/3         Detroit     1:00 pm ET


If last year is a marker of what we should expect for this year then I am seeing a very real possibility of a 16-0 season. Some would say wince a little at a GB / AZ / Seattle at home start - but these teams will not be suspecting a retooled powerhouse that is the bears of 2015-2016. The element of surprise will kick off a 3-0 start. Teams that are or in decline (Oak, KC & Det) will net us an easy 6-0 start and following the bye this continues with Min / SD and STL. Next rough patch happens with Denver and then Green bay at home - a 50/50 chance for our bears in these games and the biggest threat to the 16-0 season. The remaining games will only be a risk of the bears opt for resting players instead of chasing history.

In complete, fair and balanced analysis of the bears chances this season, it is safe to say this exciting show will be underway soon.

 

Thursday, July 9, 2015

We ARE Bears fans!


No matter what. No matter how many interceptions Jay Cutler throws. No matter how many tackles Jared Allen misses. No matter how many times Matt Forte gets stuffed at the line of scrimmage. We are Bears fans. To the end.

To be honest, I'm kind of tired of all the complaining so many so-called "Bears fans" do. Whining about missed routes. Whining about holes in the offensive line. Whining about the players not hugging every time they pass each other on the sidelines. I'm sick and tired of it. This will be a happy place where we celebrate the good stuff and look away from the bad stuff. We'll applaud and scream and whistle for every touchdown, and post snide comments on every negative Bears article the Chicago Tribune posts (I'm talking to YOU, Steve Rosenbloom!).

Look, I'm not blind. Any fool can see the Bears have issues. How many issues remain, now that Trestman is gone, as well as Mel Tucker, is up for debate. I'm actually sad that the Bears traded away Brandon Marshall, but talking about that might make me break my rule about posting only happiness on this blog. I can't do that.

You'll also be seeing some posts from my good friend Ken, a freshly converted Bears fan. He's got a good head on his shoulders, and gives some street cred to the writers here, since he's a bona-fide scientist. No, I am not joking. You can see some of the cool stuff he does here: www.scientificameriken.com.

So, anybody who happens to wander across this blog, enjoy. I hope to post lots of pro-Bears stuff as the season approaches. There's a lot to be optimistic about. Every time I accidentally post something negative, I'll take a drink. The drunker I get, the happier I get, so that should right the ship pretty quickly.

Game on!